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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-07-14T01:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-07-14T01:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/12765/-1
CME Note: There was an M2.4 flare starting at 01:07, clear dimmings and rising/opening loops.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-07-16T05:14Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -69
Dst min. time: 2017-07-16T16:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-07-16T08:48Z (-5.0h, +5.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

Compiled module: CME_KINEMATICS_MODEL_PM2017.

CME speed from CACTUS:
14/07/2017 02:48
min V =  318
max V = 1644

Most pr. speed:
V  = 980
dV = 250

Duration in seconds:        198741.83
Duration in days:        2.3002526

Acceleration of the CME:  -2.24 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME in ACE orbit:  535.0 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 16/07/2017 Time: 08:48 UT

Lead Time: 32.90 hour(s)
Difference: -3.57 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2017-07-14T20:20Z

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